Brad Woodhouse, the DNC Communications Director, circulated a memo 'round Capitol Hill today, seemingly crafted to allay fears of Democrats in the House regarding a bloodbath in November, circa 1994, when Democrats lost control of Congress, and 2006, when Republicans lost control of Congress.
Woodhouse suggests that the political landscape is completely different from that in both of those election years, and he makes a very valid case.
The main talking points from the memo are listed below. And, you can read or print the full text of the memo here [worth a look at the polling data].
~ President Obama is much more popular than President Bush was in 2006 or President Clinton was in 1994.
~ Similarly, more voters trust the President and Congressional Democrats to lead the country than trust Republicans to do so.
~ In fact, on what may be the most important issue of this election -- the economy -- Democrats lead Republicans in voter trust, and do so by a similar margin to Democrats in 2006 and a larger margin than Republicans in 1994.
~ And voters don't just trust Democrats on the economy; they support Democrats' legislative efforts to improve the American economy and to move our country forward in other ways. And voters are more likely to support candidates who back the Democratic agenda.
~ Despite voter support for Democrats on key issue tests like the economy, some polls do show narrow support for Republicans over Democrats on the generic congressional ballot. However, Republicans hold only a tenuous lead in such polls, with generic support for Republicans this year nowhere near that of Democrats in 2006.
~ Similarly, Republican cheerleaders have cited polling showing support for GOP control of Congress as an electoral boon; however, such polling has proven an unreliable indicator of electoral results.